I’d say do not worry about the polls, except that it is always best for any campaign to run like they are a point or two behind. Nate Silver shows that Romney’s prospects have improved, but the presidential race in general has not become the blow-out that conservatives are touting, A Great Poll for Romney, in Perspective
In both cases, the numbers looked more like pre-debate data than the stronger numbers that Mr. Romney has been receiving since then. On average between the Democratic convention and the debate, the Rasmussen poll showed Mr. Obama with a 0.7-point lead (the Rasmussen poll is Republican-leaning relative to the consensus), while the Gallup poll had Mr. Obama ahead by an average of 3.4 points.
A third national tracking poll, an online tracking poll published by the RAND Corporation, showed essentially no change from Sunday. All of this seemed to be consistent with a story in which Mr. Romney’s debate bounce was receding some. (A fourth tracking poll, from Ipsos, had not been published as of the time we ran our forecast on Monday.)
The swing state polls published on Monday might best be described as being OK for Mr. Obama. He led in polls of Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania and Virginia, and in two polls of Michigan. In all cases, Mr. Obama’s lead was small. However, this particular group of pollsters had shown reasonably unfavorable numbers for Mr. Obama in the same states before. Three of the polls actually moved toward Mr. Obama from the numbers that the same polling firms had published before the debates.
[ ]…But were it not for the Pew poll, our forecast would have been unchanged from Monday, with Mr. Romney’s chances holding at 21.6 percent.
Romney’s unfavorables are still way above President Obamas. People just do not like Romney and they do not like him because he cannot overcome the trust issue. When does Romney stand on the issue that means the most to you – well just about everywhere. Name the stance and he has taken it. he is back to being indistinguishable from Obama on Middle-East policy – Which way is Romney’s foreign policy wind sock blowing today, Romney Endorses Middle East Peace Process He Mocked. Though give him a day or two and he’ll have another policy. Paul Ryan is not doing Romney any favors. Ryan was supposed to be the know-it all-wonk. Once the curtain was pulled back it seems that Ryan is all PowerPoint and no substance – unless you think gutting Medicare to pay for tax cuts for millionaires is substance. When facts fail them, as they usually do, Cons like Ryan have relied on something approximating charm. Well we had the 60 Minutes interview in which Ryan would not explain the substance of his economic polices because all the yahoos watching could not possibly understand and now, Paul Ryan Gets Testy And Ends Interview. Running for the Vice President of the USA, Ryan and his hired hack explained that the reporter ran over the allotted time. Which is always a good reason for a conservative to throw a temper tantrum.
While I was looking through my notes for something else I came across what Republicans think of Mitt Romney. 10 Things Mitt Romney’s Republicans Said About Primary Opponents Said About Bain
Romney has placed his record at Bain at the center of his campaign. In April for example, Romney said, “You might have heard that I was successful in business. And that rumor is true…And after 25 years, I know how to lead us out of this stagnant Obama economy and into a job-creating recovery!” (Multiple independent fact checkers have concluded that Romney’s claims on job creation at Bain are simply false.)
On Monday, President Obama took Romney at his word and noted that the former Massachusetts governor’s record at Bain Capital is “not a distraction” but “what this campaign is going to be about.” Romney’s Republican primary opponents agreed, and in the last six months offered criticism of his tenure at Bain that make Obama’s remarks sound tame by comparison.
Here are the top 10 comments about Bain from Romney’s Republican rivals:
1. “The idea that you’ve got private equity companies that come in and take companies apart so they can make profits and have people lose their jobs, that’s not what the Republican Party’s about.” — Rick Perry [New York Times, 1/12/12]
2. “The Bain model is to go in at a very low price, borrow an immense amount of money, pay Bain an immense amount of money and leave. I’ll let you decide if that’s really good capitalism. I think that’s exploitation.” — Newt Gingrich [New York Times, 1/17/12]
3. “Instead of trying to work with them to try to find a way to keep the jobs and to get them back on their feet, it’s all about how much money can we make, how quick can we make it, and then get out of town and find the next carcass to feed upon” — Rick Perry [National Journal, 1/10/12]
4. “We find it pretty hard to justify rich people figuring out clever legal ways to loot a company, leaving behind 1,700 families without a job.” — Newt Gingrich [Globe and Mail, 1/9/12]
5. “Now, I have no doubt Mitt Romney was worried about pink slips — whether he was going to have enough of them to hand out because his company, Bain Capital, of all the jobs that they killed” — Rick Perry [New York Times, 1/9/12]
6) “He claims he created 100,000 jobs. The Washington Post, two days ago, reported in their fact check column that he gets three Pinocchios. Now, a Pinocchio is what you get from The Post if you’re not telling the truth.” — Newt Gingrich [1/13/12, NBC News]
7. “There is something inherently wrong when getting rich off failure and sticking it to someone else is how you do your business, and I happen to think that’s indefensible” — Rick Perry [National Journal, 1/10/12]
8. “If Governor Romney would like to give back all the money he’s earned from bankrupting companies and laying off employees over his years, then I would be glad to then listen to him” — Newt Gingrich [Mediaite, 12/14/11]
9. “If you’re a victim of Bain Capital’s downsizing, it’s the ultimate insult for Mitt Romney to come to South Carolina and tell you he feels your pain, because he caused it.” — Rick Perry [New York Times, 1/8/12]
10. “They’re vultures that sitting out there on the tree limb waiting for the company to get sick and then they swoop in, they eat the carcass. They leave with that and they leave the skeleton” — Rick Perry [National Journal, 1/10/12]
When I or another progressive observer notes Romney’s vision of the USA and our ideals, we see someone who sees America and life as something to exploit, to loot, to make an essay dollar. It also seems that in their saner moments Republicans see Romney in much the same way. I like money and free markets, Romney likes picking the bones of the vulnerable. I, like most Americans like and work to have a certain level of material comfort. Romney sees himself as entitled royalty. He craves money in the thoughtless crazed way that addicts crave drugs; it doesn’t matter who gets hurt as long as Romney and the other sugar daddies in the GOP get their fix. Most Americans balance their need and desire for material goods with other values, Romney and the Republicans who think like him – the vast majority of the conservative movement – esteem money above all other values. Except apparently during presidential primaries.
The Great Recession should have been a jolt to the national conscience. A hand full of people who posses historic levels of wealth crashed the economy. They came out of that disaster unscathed. Having left most of the world in economic turmoil, what lesson did Romney, Ryan and conservatives learn. That in order to right the economic ship sacrifices must be made. No, not the people who have every material comfort money can buy. Romney, Ryan and the conservative movement have convinced the media certainly and much of the public that those who caused the worse economic collapse in over eighty years should not have to step up and do the right and moral think for the nation and the people. No, the people must sacrifice their meager safety net with cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Cuts to education, infrastructure and scientific research. The people who applauded Mitt Romney “performance” at the first debate were not applauding Mitt Romney, they were applauding a dangerous, regressive and reality denying mindset. “War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength.” George Orwell, 1984. We seem to have a political movement that thinks first about what is best for them regardless of the consequences and has nothing but contempt for the ideals of the United States. That have turned reality upside down and inside out. The conservative concept of patriotism is exactly the opposite. They can and do warp it in the flag and of course they accuse anyone who disagrees of being anti-American because that is exactly what the enemies of real freedom, real peace and real idealism would do. “Doublethink means the power of holding two contradictory beliefs in one’s mind simultaneously, and accepting both of them.” George Orwell, 1984
At what point does Romney Pay for his Vicious Assault on Facts and our Intelligence?. Maybe never. Between the broadcast media in particular who is uncomfortable with calling a lie a lie, and the Americans who actually want to be lied to, conservatives get a pass on their utter lack of ethics.